A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Gregor Stuart Hunter:
As Vladimir Lenin had it, just as there are decades where nothing happens, there are weeks where decades happen. The same is broadly true in central banking, with this one towards the busier end of the spectrum.
Markets are digesting the U.S. central bank’s moves, which saw the Federal Open Market Committee delivering a widely expected 25 basis point rate cut on Wednesday, with only new Governor Stephen Miran dissenting in favour of a larger 50 bps cut.
For those marking up their scorecard: The Bank of Canada cut, the People’s Bank of China held, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority had no choice but to follow the Fed, the Bank of England is later today, and the Bank of Japan follows tomorrow.
After a stumble on Wall Street, Asian markets bought the dip on Thursday, sending S&P 500 e-minis up 0.5% and Nasdaq futures 0.7% higher. That risk-on sentiment looks set to follow through to Europe, where pan-region futures are rising 0.6%, German DAX futures have gained 0.7% and FTSE futures are 0.2% higher.
Bond markets also rallied after a pullback, with the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes sliding to 4.068% compared with its U.S. close of 4.076% on Wednesday.
The dollar held steady at 97.024 after recovering from a three-and-a-half-year low. Gold fluctuated between gains and losses, hitting an air pocket after scaling a record high on Wednesday, with bullion last trading at $3,659.40 per ounce.
Still, for all the sugar rush of the Fed resuming an easing cycle, growth worries are never far away. New Zealand stocks and the kiwi dollar skidded after worse-than-expected economic data and Australian stocks dropped after the release of weaker-than-expected labour market figures.
Shares in gas producer Santos slid as much as 13.6% after a consortium led by Abu Dhabi’s ADNOC scrapped its $18.7 billion bid for the company, saying commercial terms could not be agreed. Brent crude fell 0.2% to $67.84 per barrel.
For all that drama, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan is trading flat.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
Corporate earnings:
Auto Trader Group, Embracer Group, Next
Central bank decisions:
UK: Bank of England
Economic data:
UK: GfK Consumer Confidence for Sept
Debt auctions: France: 3-year, 5-year, 8-year, 9-year and 13-year government debt auctions
(Reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)
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